Predicting peripartum infection in laboring patients at high risk in Cameroon, Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model for peripartum infection among high risk laboring patients in Cameroon, Africa. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Cameroon Antibiotic Prophylaxis Trial (NCT03248297), a multicenter 3-arm double-blind randomized controlled trial of oral azithromycin ± amoxicillin among term pregnancies with prolonged labor or rupture of membranes in Cameroon 1/2018-5/2020. Patients with chorioamnionitis prior to randomization, study drug contraindications, or planned cesarean were excluded. The outcome of interest was a composite of maternal peripartum infection (chorioamnionitis, endometritis, sepsis by World Health Organization criteria, wound infection/abscess) diagnosed up to 6 weeks postpartum. Potential predictors were compared between patients with and without the composite outcome, and evaluated at a 0.05 alpha level. Statistically significant exposures were analyzed using multivariable regression (to generate adjusted odds ratios and 95 % confidence intervals) with backwards selection to generate a parsimonious model. Receiver operating characteristic curves with associated area under the curve assessed the model's predictive ability. A nomogram based on the final best fit multivariable model was constructed. RESULTS: Of 756 patients in the parent trial, 652 were analyzed: 45 (7 %) had peripartum infection. Those with infection were more likely to be nulliparous, lower education level, higher gestational age, receive antibiotics per hospital protocols, and undergo cesarean. In our best-fit multivariable model, none/primary education (vs university), cesarean birth, and antibiotic receipt per physician discretion (vs for cesarean prophylaxis) were significantly associated with increased infection risk. This model was moderately predictive (AUC = 0.75, 95 % CI 0.67-0.82). When using this 3 factor model, for a patient with a cesarean birth, receipt of antibiotics per physician discretion, and university education, the probability of peripartum infection was 35 % (95 % CI 0.11-0.73). CONCLUSIONS: While several variables such as parity are associated with infectious morbidity within 6 weeks among high risk laboring patients in Cameroon, only education level, antibiotic indication, and cesarean birth were independently associated, and a model including these 3 factors was moderately predictive. Validation of our findings in a larger population is warranted.

Single Dose of Oral Azithromycin With or Without Amoxicillin to Prevent Peripartum Infection in Laboring, High-Risk Women in Cameroon: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness of single-dose azithromycin, with or without amoxicillin, with placebo to prevent peripartum infection in laboring women. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, three-group, double-blind randomized controlled trial of women with viable term nonanomalous pregnancies with either prolonged labor of 18 hours or longer or rupture of membranes for 8 hours or longer in Cameroon. Women with chorioamnionitis before randomization, study drug contraindications, or planned cesarean births were excluded. Women were randomized to oral azithromycin 1 g-placebo (group 1), oral azithromycin 1 g-oral amoxicillin 2 g (group 2), or placebo-placebo (group 3). All groups received usual care, including antibiotics given at the health care professional's discretion. The primary outcome was a composite of maternal peripartum infection or death from any cause up to 6 weeks postpartum. Two primary comparisons (group 1 vs group 3 and group 2 vs group 3) were planned. We estimated that 241 women per group (planning for 750 total) would provide 80% power at two-sided α=0.05 (0.025 per comparison) to detect a 50% effect size assuming 20% baseline composite infection rate. RESULTS: From January 6, 2018, to May 15, 2020, 6,531 women were screened, and 756 (253 in group 1, 253 in group 2, and 250 in group 3) were randomized. Baseline characteristics (including body mass index, duration of rupture of membranes or labor, and parity) were balanced across groups, except for maternal age. More than 60% of women in each group received usual-care antibiotics: more than 90% penicillin and approximately 50% for prolonged rupture of membranes across all study groups. Composite outcome incidences were similar in antibiotic groups 1 (6%) and 2 (7%) compared with placebo group 3 (10%) (RR 0.6, 95% CI 0.3-1.2; 0.7, 95% CI 0.4-1.3, respectively). Chorioamnionitis and wound infection were significantly lower in group 2 (3.2% vs 0.4% and 4% vs 0.8% respectively, both P=.02) compared with group 3. There were no differences in other maternal or neonatal outcomes including neonatal infection. CONCLUSION: A single dose of oral azithromycin with or without amoxicillin for prolonged labor or rupture of membranes at term did not reduce maternal peripartum or neonatal infection. Observed lower than expected infection rates and frequent usual-care antibiotic use may have contributed to these findings. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03248297. FUNDING SOURCE: Merck for Mothers Investigator Studies Program grant.